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Implementation of Sexual and Reproductive Health Programs
This toolkit describes the planning and implementation of reproductive health services and programs. Resources include communication materials for behavioral change around family planning, tools specifically focused on adolescent health, and community-oriented tools.
Woman using CommCare app
Supply Chain Management
This toolkit describes the planning and implementation of management activities and procurement of basic health products. Supply chain management resources provide guidance to achieve the goal of delivering the right products to the right people, at the right time, and in the right amount.
A woman and her baby access health services.
Implementation of Sexual and Reproductive Health Programs for Adolescents
This toolkit describes the planning and implementation of reproductive health services and programs, specifically for adolescent populations. The resources include behavior change communication materials, tools specifically focused around adolescent health, and community-oriented tools.

Quantification and Programming

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Quantification and programming are phases of the logistics cycle that occur before procurement, but after product selection. Quantification involves both forecasting and supply planning. The efficiency of a supply chain relies on forecasts to determine the demand and procurement needs for a specific medicines, products, and health supplies. Accurate forecasts ensure programs have enough supplies to serve their users and avoid stock-outs. In documents within the toolkit, the terms programming and quantification are sometimes used interchangeably.

Quantification answers the question: “How much will be procured and when will it be delivered?”. It is the process of estimating the quantities and costs of the products required for a specific health program (or service) and for determining when the products should be delivered to ensure an uninterrupted supply for the program. It considers the expected demand for commodities, unit costs, existing stocks, the stock already on order, expiring products, freight, logistics and other costs, lead times, and buffer stocks. Using this information, the total commodity requirements and costs are calculated and compared with the available financial resources to determine the final quantities to procure. The procurement process is discussed in the next module.  

Forecasting answers the question: “How much is needed, in quantities and cost, to meet the health demand of the population?” It is the process of estimating the expected consumption of commodities based on historical consumption, service statistics, morbidity and/or demographic data or assumptions when data are unavailable, to calculate the quantities of commodities needed to meet demand during a particular time frame.

Supply planning refers to the quantities required to fill the supply pipeline, costs, lead times, and arrival dates of shipments to ensure optimal procurement and delivery schedules. Supply planning is considered the final output of quantification.

This section of the toolkit provides several forecasting and programming guides that can be used to project supply needs. The toolkits focus on reproductive health commodities, as well as preventative health care commodities that address the leading causes of morbidity in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). The toolkit also includes programmatic guides for laboratory and pathology supplies and commodities. The materials include examples from various countries in Central America.

Documents

Forecasting Guide for Health Commodities

This guide is a reference document for technical personnel, program managers, warehouse managers and service providers on how to carry out and estimate total commodity needs at the national and regional level. The guide provides a general step-by-step approach for conducting a quantification exercise at the national level and includes specific guidance on how to use the quantification results to: (1) Identify funding needs and gaps for the procurement of the required drugs and inputs; (2) Coordinate procurement and delivery times to ensure a continuous and effective delivery of commodities.

Forecasting and programming guide: Morbidity methodology

This guide provides an additional methodology on forecasting and quantification for medicines and health supplies focusing on preventative care and addressing the main causes of morbidity in El Salvador. This guide was intended to compliment the Ministry of Health (MINSAL) use of a methodology based on historical consumption data. The guide is intended for personnel of both primary and secondary level healthcare.